Lions vs. Commanders Predictions and Picks – Gibbs and Mariota Yards Props + Team Points and Spread

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The Detroit Lions and Washington Commanders meet again after last season’s playoff shocker, but this time the situations are very different. Our Lions vs. Commanders Predictions for Week 10 focus on Detroit’s bounce-back potential, Washington’s offensive limitations, and several strong prop bets.

GameDetroit Lions vs. Washington Commanders
DateNovember 6
Expert PredictionLions to Cover the Spread -8.5
Alternative Expert PickLions Over 3.5 Team Touchdowns
Player Prop PredictionJahmyr Gibbs Over 70.5 Rushing Yards
Alternative Prop Bet PickMarcus Mariota Under 205.5 Passing Yards
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*Sports betting is unpredictable, and while these NFL picks are based on data and matchup trends, outcomes can always differ.

Lions vs. Commanders – Week 10 Game Overview

The Lions enter this matchup at 5-3 and hungry to rebound after a tough home loss. They have consistently played well following losses, having covered the spread in 12 straight games after a defeat. Their offense remains one of the most efficient in the league, and their pass rush currently ranks second in total sacks.

Washington, on the other hand, has lost four straight, with the last three games being decided by large margins. Key injuries have significantly weakened both sides of the ball. QB Jayden Daniels is out with a dislocated elbow, forcing Marcus Mariota into the starting role. Top corner Marshon Lattimore and WR Luke McCaffrey are also sidelined, leaving the team thin at key positions.

This is a rematch of last year’s NFC Divisional Round where Washington pulled off an upset, but the current conditions make a repeat outcome unlikely. Detroit holds a clear advantage in health, execution, and offensive consistency.

Click here to make SportsHandle your preferred source on Google.Lions to Cover the Spread -8.5

Detroit has a strong track record following losses, consistently bouncing back with urgency and sharper execution. Their offense matches up well against Washington’s depleted defense, especially with the Commanders missing Lattimore in the secondary. With Washington struggling to score and sustain drives during their losing streak, Detroit’s balanced offense and pass rush should allow them to control the game effectively.

Lions Over 3.5 Team Touchdowns

The Lions have one of the most complete offensive units in the NFL, with multiple playmakers both in the run and pass game. After being held in check last week, the expectation is a strong rebound performance. Washington’s defense has allowed multiple big scoring games recently, and Detroit’s pace and red zone efficiency point toward four or more touchdowns.

Jahmyr Gibbs Over 70.5 Rushing Yards

Gibbs was limited last week, but this matchup sets up well for a bounce-back performance. Washington has struggled against the run during their losing streak, and with Detroit likely playing with a lead, Gibbs should see steady volume. His ability to break long runs gives him upside to clear this number even on moderate touches.

Marcus Mariota Under 205.5 Passing Yards

Mariota steps in for an injured Jayden Daniels, but Washington’s passing game has already been limited due to turnovers and inconsistent execution. With key receiving weapons sidelined and Detroit’s pass rush ranking among the league’s best, Mariota is likely to operate in a conservative, run-first approach. This situation favors the Under on his passing yards.

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